Horns of a Dilemma

148 episodes listed below

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Strategy, statecraft, and hard security questions.

The gist

Horns of a Dilemma translates Texas National Security Review articles into measured conversations about strategy, technology, alliances, and statecraft. Recent episodes move from nuclear psychology and Schelling’s deterrence ideas to authoritarianism, autonomous weapons, Indo-Pacific readiness, and alliance resilience.

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About Horns of a Dilemma

Horns of a Dilemma is an editorial, research-centered national security show from the world of the Texas National Security Review. It is built for long-form argument. Episodes often start with a specific article, then use that article as a doorway into larger questions about strategy, power, institutions, and responsibility. The show does not chase the daily news cycle. It works at the pace of scholars and practitioners trying to clarify what a changing world is doing to inherited assumptions. Nuclear deterrence is a recurring anchor. Recent conversations ask whether Cold War models of strategic stability still fit a world with more nuclear actors, emerging technologies, and less predictable relationships among major powers. The show also spends time on the human side of strategic choice. A discussion of psychological bias challenges the tidy idea that presidents, military leaders, and policymakers reliably behave like rational calculators in moments of danger. Another episode returns to Schelling’s nuclear paradigms and tests vivid theories of risk against what presidents have actually been willing to do. The range is broader than nuclear policy. Horns of a Dilemma covers autonomous weapons, the principle of distinction, and the need to keep responsibility attached to human choices in combat. It examines U.S. military readiness in the Indo-Pacific through production capacity, congressional alignment, defense contractors, doctrine, and logistics. It looks at alliance resilience through leadership, security communities, previous defense cooperation, and perceived resource shortfalls. It also makes room for democracy and authoritarianism, including a conversation with Melissa Chan about reporting in Asia and a dystopian novel shaped by concerns about repression and resistance. The show’s register is serious without being theatrical. Guests are introduced with institutional context, but the strongest moments come when theory meets practical uncertainty. It is best for listeners who want concepts explained with patience and then pressure-tested against history, technology, and political reality.

Made for: For listeners who follow national security, international relations, military affairs, and grand strategy, especially those comfortable with scholarly arguments and policy detail. It also suits readers who want journal articles made more conversational without losing rigor.

What sets it apart: Horns of a Dilemma stands out by tying each conversation to a serious research argument, then letting guests test the implications at length. The show favors conceptual precision over pundit speed.

In their own words

Brought to you by the Texas National Security Review, this podcast features lectures, interviews, and panel discussions at The University of Texas at Austin.

As heard by us

Based on 6 episodes we listened to · September 2026

Horns of a Dilemma tests national-security theory against the constraints, biases, and institutional choices that shape real policy.

Horns of a Dilemma turns national-security scholarship into searching conversation. Sheena Chestnut-Greitens and Ryan Vest ask authors to define their assumptions, test the limits of their theories, and explain what those ideas would mean for officials making consequential…

Read our full review in PlayNext →

Why you'd press play

Nuclear brinkmanship sounds tidy until you ask who would actually throw away the steering wheel.

Press play if you want

  • to hear an autonomous weapons debate pause over civilians standing near a tank
  • to test rational deterrence theory against the awkward fact that leaders have biases
Read the full recommendation in PlayNext →
nuclear deterrencestrategic stabilityemerging military technologyautonomous weapons and responsibilityauthoritarianism and democracyIndo-Pacific military readinessU.S. alliancesChina, Russia, and major-power competition

Talks about

Best episodes of Horns of a Dilemma

Short reviews from the PlayNext desk, based on the episodes we processed.

Psychological Biases in the Era of Nuclear Weapons and AIApr 15, 2026

Rose McDermott questions whether economic models of deterrence capture how people weigh nuclear risks.

Rose McDermott's account of nuclear deterrence starts with a difficult question: what happens when decision makers do not weigh risks the way economic models expect?

US Military Primacy and Alliance ResilienceJan 20, 2026

Bence Nemeth examines how leadership, shared security concerns and existing military ties shape defense cooperation.

Bence Nemeth asks what keeps defense partners working together when circumstances change. His answer rests partly with leaders, who can strengthen cooperation or let it weaken.

Conventional Options Theory in the New Nuclear EraJan 7, 2026

Tyler Bowen asks when conventional threats might carry weight in a nuclear crisis.

Tyler Bowen joins Ryan Vest and Sheena Chestnut-Greitens to ask when a limited conventional threat might matter in a nuclear crisis. The discussion starts with fears of Soviet conventional strength in Europe and the possibility of a nuclear stalemate with the United States.

Trade, Technology, & the US–Korea Alliance: A Conversation with Ambassador KangDec 9, 2025

Ambassador Kang discusses Korean investment in Texas and the economic role of the U.S.-Korea alliance.

At a fireside chat in Austin, South Korea's ambassador Kang Kyung-hwa talks with Sheena Chestnut-Greitens about the economic side of the U.S.-Korea alliance. Greitens begins with Korean investment in Texas and asks where the relationship could grow and what might put it at risk.

Podcasts like Horns of a Dilemma

Episodes

  1. 1

    Dual Use Deception: How Technology Shapes Cooperation in International Relations

    ·26m
  2. 2

    Strategic Stability in a Rapidly Changing World

    ·34m
  3. 3

    A Dystopian Take on Rising Authoritarianism and Resistance

    ·37m
  4. 4

    Navigating a World Adrift with Shivshankar Menon

    ·47m
  5. 5

    Sweden, Finland, and the Meaning of Alliance Membership

    ·28m
  6. 6

    From Panic to Policy: The Limits of Foreign Propaganda and the Foundations of an Effective Response

    ·28m
  7. 7

    Why the Humanities Still Matter in Higher Education

    ·29m
  8. 8

    The Evolution of China's Navy

    ·42m
  9. 9

    The Multiple Collisions Involved in the War in Ukraine

    ·32m
  10. 10

    Leadership Lessons From Our Top Presidents

    ·38m
  11. 11

    Combatant Command and the Intersection of Policy and Military Execution

    ·58m
  12. 12

    Russia, Central Asia, and the U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan

    ·21m
  13. 13

    Wisdom for a World in Turmoil

    ·50m
  14. 14

    Placing Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait in the Context of the End of the Cold War

    ·42m
  15. 15

    Sport and War: Martin Pengelly on his book "Brotherhood"

    ·32m
  16. 16

    The Debate Over Why the United States Invaded Iraq in 2003

    ·28m
  17. 17

    The Principle of Distinction in the Autonomous Age

    ·55m
  18. 18

    Ensuring US Military Readiness in the Indo-Pacific

    ·42m
  19. 19

    US Military Primacy and Alliance Resilience

    ·30m
  20. 20

    Conventional Options Theory in the New Nuclear Era

    ·43m
  21. 21

    The Art and Science of Grand Strategy

    ·39m
  22. 22

    Trade, Technology, & the US–Korea Alliance: A Conversation with Ambassador Kang

    ·35m
  23. 23

    The Democratization of Violence in the Greater Middle East

    ·39m
  24. 24

    AI Policy & Hostage Recovery with the Former Deputy Assistant to the President

    ·43m
  25. 25

    Cold War Lessons for Export Controls Against China

    ·48m
  26. 26

    Emerging Challenges in Global Nuclear Policy

    ·52m
  27. 27

    Addressing the North Korean Conundrum

    ·40m
  28. 28

    Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials

    ·38m
  29. 29

    Economic Cooperation Across Enemy Lines

    ·36m
  30. 30

    Hackers and Warriors in the US Army

    ·52m
  31. 31

    International Law in the Gray Zone

    ·38m
  32. 32

    The Strategic Significance of Taiwan in US Defense Planning

    ·43m
  33. 33

    Balancing AI and Human Control in Nuclear Strategy

    ·35m
  34. 34

    Great-Power Expectations in Europe

    ·28m
  35. 35

    Rethinking North Korea's Artillery Threat

    ·40m
  36. 36

    Remembering Joseph Nye

    ·46m
  37. 37

    Understanding Schelling's Nuclear Paradigms with Francis J. Gavin

    ·49m
  38. 38

    Machine Failing: The Linkage Between Software Development Flaws and Military Accidents

    ·27m
  39. 39

    Davy Crockett and the Boy Scouts: The Korean War and Mismanaging Protracted Conflict

    ·26m
  40. 40

    Soviet-India Relations: Cold War Contest and Cooperation

    ·24m
  41. 41

    Australian and New Zealand Views on the U.S. Relationship

    ·24m
  42. 42

    The War of Words Between FDR and Charles Lindbergh

    ·33m
  43. 43

    Hunting for Submarines in the Warming Ocean

    ·25m
  44. 44

    Drones, AI, and the Changing Nature of Warfare

    ·31m
  45. 45

    How China Uses Economic Sanctions

    ·30m
  46. 46

    Access Denied? Non-Aligned State Decisions to Grant Access During War

    ·22m
  47. 47

    The Political Thought of Xi Jinping

    ·37m
  48. 48

    Estimating China's Defense Spending: How to Get It Wrong (and Right)

    ·43m
  49. 49

    History and Perspective in Statecraft and War

    ·30m
  50. 50

    Introducing our new editor-in-chief, Sheena Chestnut Greitens

    ·34m
  51. 51

    Mitigating Risks in a Volatile World: A Conversation with Philip Zelikow

    ·39m
  52. 52

    Why the United States Failed to Retrench from Europe during the Early Cold War

    ·25m
  53. 53

    Salami Tactics in the Shadow of Major War

    ·27m
  54. 54

    Joseph Nye on Scholarship and Practice in International Relations

    ·45m
  55. 55

    The Difficult Balance of Constitutional Statesmanship During Times of War

    ·32m
  56. 56

    The Pivot to Asia Remains Incomplete

    ·46m
  57. 57

    South Korea's Grand Strategy

    ·36m
  58. 58

    Fighting in Iraq's Triangle of Death

    ·41m
  59. 59

    Understanding the Defense Department's Industrial Base Problems

    ·46m
  60. 60

    George Shultz and the End of the Cold War

    ·37m
  61. 61

    AI and Making the Supply Chain More Robust

    ·30m
  62. 62

    America's Effort to Shield Itself

    ·45m
  63. 63

    The United States and Afghanistan Before the Soviet Invasion

    ·43m
  64. 64

    European Security and the Russo-Ukrainian War

    ·42m
  65. 65

    Foreign Policy In the Johnson Years

    ·1h 2m
  66. 66

    China's Digital Data Trafficking

    ·31m
  67. 67

    Government Historians and Engagement with Classified Information

    ·36m
  68. 68

    The Media, Secrecy and Transparency

    ·46m
  69. 69

    A Conversation with Sen. John Cornyn

    ·33m
  70. 70

    The Future of Presidential Libraries

    ·38m
  71. 71

    Using Technology to Solve the Declassification Problem

    ·46m
  72. 72

    Classification and Scholarship

    ·46m
  73. 73

    Counter-Terrorism and U.S. Foreign Policy Priorities

    ·38m
  74. 74

    Russian Opposition to Totalitarianism

    ·24m
  75. 75

    The Making of the American Hegemon

    ·49m
  76. 76

    Keeping the Nation's Secrets

    ·43m
  77. 77

    How Will the Russo-Ukrainian War End?

    ·51m
  78. 78

    Investigating Russian War Crimes: Ukraine's Quest for Justice

    ·43m
  79. 79

    Seeds of Division Between Russia and China

    ·20m
  80. 80

    A Conversation with Dr. Paul Edgar and Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison

    ·38m
  81. 81

    A Conversation with Secretary of State Antony Blinken

    ·48m
  82. 82

    Israel's 9/11

    ·56m
  83. 83

    China's Law of the Sea

    ·41m
  84. 84

    Confronting Saddam Hussein

    ·48m
  85. 85

    The Nuclear Club

    ·44m
  86. 86

    Lessons From A White House Intelligence Briefer

    ·37m
  87. 87

    European Security After the War in Ukraine

    ·37m
  88. 88

    Reagan's War Stories

    ·29m
  89. 89

    The Bureau of Things That Keep You Up At Night

    ·32m
  90. 90

    Corps Capabilities: Redesigning the Marine Corps for the Modern Indo-Pacific

    ·1h
  91. 91

    Hard Power, Hard Choices, and Cold, Hard Cash

    ·1h 11m
  92. 92

    Dealers in Hope? Leadership in the Russia-Ukraine War

    ·46m
  93. 93

    The Hard Politics of Soft Power

    ·29m
  94. 94

    Transition in a Time of Transition

    ·44m
  95. 95

    A Hard Act to Follow: Explaining Authoritarian Succession

    ·36m
  96. 96

    What Happens if the Balloon Goes Up With China?

    ·50m
  97. 97

    The Truth Shall Set You Free: Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty in the Cold War

    ·1h 3m
  98. 98

    The Contradictions of J. Edgar Hoover

    ·52m
  99. 99

    The Arc of a Covenant

    ·41m
  100. 100

    Reconstructing the Roots of January 6

    ·57m
  101. 101

    Psychological Biases in the Era of Nuclear Weapons and AI

    Hidden gem

    Rose McDermott argues on Horns of a Dilemma that nuclear deterrence and AI decisions are shaped by systematic psychological biases, not just economic rationality.

    Apr 15, 2026·44m·3 clips
  102. 102

    Understanding Schelling's Nuclear Paradigms with Francis J. Gavin

    Professor Frank Gavin discusses Thomas Schelling's foundational role in nuclear strategy and his article on strategic stability.

    Apr 1, 2026·49m·2 clips
  103. 103

    Strategic Stability in a Rapidly Changing World

    Harold Trinkunas discusses how assumptions about deterrence from the Cold War era no longer hold due to more nuclear players and emerging technologies.

    Mar 18, 2026·34m
  104. 104

    A Dystopian Take on Rising Authoritarianism and Resistance

    An interview with journalist Melissa Chan about her career covering authoritarianism in Asia and her new dystopian novel.

    Mar 4, 2026·37m
  105. 105

    Navigating a World Adrift with Shivshankar Menon

    Former Indian National Security Advisor Shivshankar Menon discusses his career in diplomacy and his article on the dangers of a new world order.

    Feb 17, 2026·47m
  106. 106

    US Military Primacy and Alliance Resilience

    Hidden gem

    Bence Nemeth, author of "How a U.S.-Suez Moment Could Hollow the U.S.

    Jan 20, 2026·30m·2 clips
  107. 107

    Conventional Options Theory in the New Nuclear Era

    Tyler Bowen argues that conventional coercion against a nuclear-armed adversary depends on an effective limited conventional option and a strong second-strike capability.

    Jan 7, 2026·43m·3 clips
  108. 108

    The Art and Science of Grand Strategy

    Dec 16, 2025·39m
  109. 109

    Trade, Technology, & the US–Korea Alliance: A Conversation with Ambassador Kang

    Hidden gem

    Ambassador Kang Kyung-hwa tells Horns of a Dilemma that the U.S.-Korea relationship now centers on a $350 billion Korean government-led investment commitment across shipbuilding, energy, semiconductors, biotech, rare earths, AI, and quantum computing.

    Dec 9, 2025·35m·3 clips
  110. 110

    The Democratization of Violence in the Greater Middle East

    Dec 2, 2025·39m
  111. 111

    AI Policy & Hostage Recovery with the Former Deputy Assistant to the President

    Dr.

    Nov 18, 2025·43m
  112. 112

    Cold War Lessons for Export Controls Against China

    Nov 4, 2025·48m
  113. 113

    Emerging Challenges in Global Nuclear Policy

    Oct 21, 2025·52m
  114. 114

    Addressing the North Korean Conundrum

    Oct 7, 2025·40m
  115. 115

    Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials

    Sep 23, 2025·38m
  116. 116

    Economic Cooperation Across Enemy Lines

    Sep 9, 2025·36m
  117. 117

    Hackers and Warriors in the US Army

    Aug 26, 2025·52m
  118. 118

    International Law in the Gray Zone

    Aug 11, 2025·38m
  119. 119

    The Strategic Significance of Taiwan in US Defense Planning

    Jul 28, 2025·43m
  120. 120

    Balancing AI and Human Control in Nuclear Strategy

    Jul 15, 2025·35m
  121. 121

    Rethinking North Korea's Artillery Threat

    Jul 1, 2025·40m
  122. 122

    Remembering Joseph Nye

    May 13, 2025·46m
  123. 123

    Dual Use Deception: How Technology Shapes Cooperation in International Relations

    Jan 15, 2025·26m
  124. 124

    Machine Failing: The Linkage Between Software Development Flaws and Military Accidents

    Jan 10, 2025·27m
  125. 125

    Davy Crockett and the Boy Scouts: The Korean War and Mismanaging Protracted Conflict

    Jan 3, 2025·26m
  126. 126

    Soviet-India Relations: Cold War Contest and Cooperation

    Dec 20, 2024·24m
  127. 127

    Australian and New Zealand Views on the U.S. Relationship

    Dec 13, 2024·24m
  128. 128

    The War of Words Between FDR and Charles Lindbergh

    Dec 6, 2024·33m
  129. 129

    Hunting for Submarines in the Warming Ocean

    Nov 29, 2024·25m
  130. 130

    Drones, AI, and the Changing Nature of Warfare

    Nov 15, 2024·31m
  131. 131

    How China Uses Economic Sanctions

    Nov 1, 2024·30m
  132. 132

    Access Denied? Non-Aligned State Decisions to Grant Access During War

    Oct 25, 2024·22m
  133. 133

    The Political Thought of Xi Jinping

    Oct 18, 2024·37m
  134. 134

    Combatant Command and the Intersection of Policy and Military Execution

    Oct 11, 2024·58m
  135. 135

    Russia, Central Asia, and the U.S. Withdrawal from Afghanistan

    Chuck Ziegler discusses his article on Russia's neo-imperial ambitions in Central Asia following the U.S.

    Oct 4, 2024·21m
  136. 136

    Wisdom for a World in Turmoil

    Sep 27, 2024·50m
  137. 137

    Placing Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait in the Context of the End of the Cold War

    Sep 20, 2024·42m
  138. 138

    Sport and War: Martin Pengelly on his book "Brotherhood"

    Sep 13, 2024·32m
  139. 139

    The Debate Over Why the United States Invaded Iraq in 2003

    Sep 6, 2024·28m
  140. 140

    Great-Power Expectations in Europe

    Aug 30, 2024·28m
  141. 141

    Estimating China's Defense Spending: How to Get It Wrong (and Right)

    Experts discuss common errors in estimating China's defense spending and how to correct them.

    Aug 23, 2024·43m
  142. 142

    History and Perspective in Statecraft and War

    Aug 16, 2024·30m
  143. 143

    Introducing our new editor-in-chief, Sheena Chestnut Greitens

    Aug 9, 2024·34m
  144. 144

    Mitigating Risks in a Volatile World: A Conversation with Philip Zelikow

    Philip Zelikow discusses his article on confronting a new axis of adversaries, comparing historical alliances and highlighting unique military challenges.

    Jul 26, 2024·39m
  145. 145

    Why the United States Failed to Retrench from Europe during the Early Cold War

    Jul 19, 2024·25m
  146. 146

    Salami Tactics in the Shadow of Major War

    Jul 12, 2024·27m
  147. 147

    Joseph Nye on Scholarship and Practice in International Relations

    Jun 28, 2024·45m
  148. 148

    The Difficult Balance of Constitutional Statesmanship During Times of War

    Jun 21, 2024·32m