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Winning Cures Everything | College Football

Week 3 ESPN College Pickem | Against the Spread Contest Picks!

·29 min·2 clips
Gary reveals why Alabama's 73-0 blowout looks the same as a 35-0 lead to a computer model.
The episode is a solo analysis by host Gary Segars, who methodically goes through his ten picks for the ESPN College Pick'em contest in Week 3 of the 2025 season. He opens by stating his current record is 14-6 against the spread, placing him third in the SEC pick'em and 48th in the ESPN contest. For each game, Segars references his own statistical models, including a 'power rating' and a 'stats projected spread,' while also considering roster strength, schedule strength, and situational context like 'sandwich spots' or games before a bye. Key games analyzed include Alabama as a 20.5-point favorite over Wisconsin, where he discusses how garbage time affects computer stats. He picks Temple to cover against Oklahoma, citing coach Casey Keeler's strong record as an underdog. For Georgia-Tennessee, he defends Georgia despite line movement, listing their defensive rankings. He selects Oregon State to cover against Texas Tech and Purdue to cover against USC, questioning if Lincoln Riley has solved USC's road woes. Other picks include Iowa State over Arkansas State, Miami over USF, Ohio State over Ohio, Arkansas over Ole Miss (noting injury rumors about QB Austin Simmons), and LSU over Florida. He concludes with a tiebreaker prediction of 48 total points for the Tennessee-Georgia game. The format is straightforward: game selection, data presentation, and reasoning, with occasional references to his website for supporting sheets.

As heard by us

Gary Seegers weighs early data, home-field energy, and schedule strength in his Week 3 college football picks.

Week 3 finds Gary Seegers sorting through ESPN's college football pick'em with a close eye on what the early numbers can and cannot say. His Purdue lean gives the episode its clearest shape: the home setting, the looming Notre Dame game, USC's No. 2 PPA margin, Purdue's No.

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Why you'd press play

You want Week 3 college football pick'em picks with enough reasoning to see where the confidence comes from.

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