VSiN College Football Betting Podcast · VSiN

Unexpected but Exciting CFP Semifinals Matchups

·45 min·2 clips

Shannon Dawson keeps calling plays that leave Miami at third-and-two or third-and-three, which is why Carson Beck keeps converting.

1. The VSiN College Football Betting Podcast breaks down the two 2026 College Football Playoff semifinals, Miami vs. Ole Miss in Glendale and Indiana vs. Oregon in Atlanta, with betting lines of Miami -3.5 and Indiana -4. 2. Host Tim Murray and VSiN analyst Adam Burke handle the Monday show, with Murray noting that Matt Humans, Brett Ciancia and Hoosier-focused guest Wes Reynolds will join later in the week. 3. The central thread is that Miami, which Circa hung at 200-to-1 before the bracket came out, is now a 3.5-point favorite after beating Texas A&M and Ohio State. 4. Burke credits Miami offensive coordinator Shannon Dawson for creating third-and-two and third-and-three situations, noting Carson Beck threw for under 250 yards in both playoff games and Miami went 7-of-14 on third down against Ohio State. 5. Murray calls Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss "a Disney movie," noting he was a Division II quarterback and that Georgia's streaks of 53 straight wins when leading at halftime and 75 when leading entering the fourth quarter ended on New Year's night. 6. Burke criticizes Ryan Day's game management, saying Ohio State's tempo drive at the end of the first half tired Miami's defensive line but Day never went back to it, and he expects Ole Miss to push tempo instead. 7. Both hosts highlight Ole Miss kicker Lucas Carnero, who made a 55-yarder and a 56-yarder and the game-winning kick, and discuss how a reliable kicker changes play calling between the 30 and 35. 8. For Indiana-Oregon, Burke picks Indiana, noting the 30-20 win on October 11 with three 75-yard touchdown drives, while Murray cites a tweet that Indiana is second in fewest penalty yards and leads in turnover margin with eight turnovers. 9. Murray reports first-half unders are 27-16 this postseason and that he played the under at 47.5, while Burke argues Oregon's coordinators Will Stein at Kentucky and Tosh Lupoi at Cal create inconsistency during the transfer portal window. 10. Fans of CFP betting angles and semifinal previews will enjoy this episode.

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