VSiN College Football Betting Podcast · VSiN

Hunting for Live Dogs in the CFP & Bowl Season

·55 min·2 clips
Wes Reynolds explains why Miami-Texas A&M should play slow, citing A&M's number-one sack rate on passing downs.
1. The VSiN College Football Betting Podcast previews the four first-round College Football Playoff games and the December 22-23 bowl slate, with lines such as Oklahoma-Alabama at a 40.5 total and Ole Miss around 17 over Tulane. 2. Host Tim Murray is joined by Indiana alum Wes Reynolds for the weekly "Wednesdays with Wes" segment, and Murray will work the sidelines at the Idaho Potato Bowl in Boise on Bowl Season Radio. 3. The central theme is finding value in a market where numbers had already moved, such as the Miami-Texas A&M total dropping from 51.5 to 48.5, which Murray calls "closing line value." 4. On Oklahoma-Alabama, Wes Reynolds sees a "coin flippy" game and passes, while Murray notes Oklahoma was outgained by 190 yards by Alabama in the first meeting yet won 23-21, and points to John Mateer's FanDuel rushing prop of 34.5. 5. On Miami-Texas A&M, Reynolds expects a slow tempo because Miami trusts its offensive line more than Carson Beck, A&M led in passing-down sack rate, and Mario Cristobal's game management keeps the 3.5-point spread from moving. 6. On Ole Miss-Tulane, Reynolds laid 9.5 in the first half but not the full-game 17, reasoning that Ole Miss may rest starters with a Sugar Bowl against Georgia next, and he suggests Tulane could be worth a live bet around plus 24. 7. On Oregon-James Madison, Murray laid 21 with the Ducks, his biggest favorite of the year, while Reynolds leans slightly to the dog but has not bet, citing James Madison's 280 rushing yards per game against Oregon's number-one pass defense. 8. The hosts open with Fernando Mendoza becoming Indiana's first Heisman winner, noting he was around 50-55 to one in the preseason and that three of the top three finishers were long shots. 9. In the bowl segment, Reynolds bet under 51.5 in Washington State-Utah State, and he took Toledo plus 7 against Louisville in the Boca Raton Bowl, citing Louisville opt-outs and Toledo's motivation under new coach Mike Jacobs. 10. Anyone betting the college football playoff and early bowl games will find this useful.
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