VSiN College Football Betting Podcast · VSiN

Christmas with Wes: CFP Quarterfinals & Dec 27 Bowl Previews

·48 min·2 clips

Alabama had 260 yards, 28 rushing yards and went 2 of 12 on third down, yet is being treated as a public underdog.

1. The VSiN College Football Betting Podcast's Christmas Eve episode covers the four CFP quarterfinal lines and the December 27 bowl slate, with the Rose Bowl line of Indiana at 6.5 or 7 over Alabama as the opening topic. 2. Host Tim Murray, who works sidelines for Bowl Season Radio at the Idaho Potato Bowl and the Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl, is joined by Wes Reynolds, who will attend Indiana's Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. 3. The core thesis is that public perception and opt-outs distort bowl and playoff prices, with Reynolds saying of Alabama that "they're kind of trying to have it both ways" in the national media. 4. Reynolds notes that Alabama beat Oklahoma despite 12 first downs, 2-of-12 on third down, 260 total yards, 28 rushing yards and four Ty Simpson sacks after trailing 17-0, and calls anything under 7 on Indiana "worth a lay." 5. On Ohio State-Miami at 42 or 42.5, Reynolds says a line of 10 appeared "for about 10 seconds" at the Westgate SuperBook, points to Miami sacking Marcel Reed seven times, and expects public money on Ohio State and buyback on Miami. 6. Murray details his Oregon bet against James Madison, which started with 77 percent of tickets on Oregon and a 48-13 lead, and he says the game turned on a Dante Moore interception that prevented a 51-13 field goal. 7. Both hosts lean slightly to Texas Tech over Oregon without conviction, citing Texas Tech's rush defense at 68 yards allowed, and both like Georgia over Ole Miss, with Reynolds citing nine sacks, five turnovers and 10-of-48 third downs allowed in four games. 8. For December 27, Reynolds says UTSA could be without 10 to 20 players per coach Jeff Traylor, the line moved toward FIU, and Pitt jumped to about 10 over East Carolina once quarterback Caden Houser was ruled out. 9. Murray bet Army on the money line against UConn, which moved to a 9.5-point underdog, and says Skylar Bell's decision to play while Joe Fagnano sits is a factor, while Reynolds leans under because he prefers service academies as underdogs. 10. Sports bettors who track line movement and bowl-season opt-outs will get the most from this episode.

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