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FINAL Pre-Draft ADP Chasing w/ Sam Sherman, Peter Overzet & Ben Gretch

·1 hr 22 min·5 clips
Dalton Kincaid’s ADP jump may be the market double-counting the Stefon Diggs move.
1. The SportsGrid Fantasy Football Show episode "FINAL Pre-Draft ADP Chasing w/ Sam Sherman, Peter Overzet & Ben Gretch" tracks pre-draft ADP movement across Derrick Henry, CJ Stroud, and Dalton Kincaid. 2. Sam Sherman, Peter Overzet, and Ben Gretch are the main voices, with the conversation framed as a final pre-NFL draft pass through risers and fallers. 3. The episode is for figuring out which players are getting priced up, which players still look cheap, and where the market may be double-counting news. 4. Derrick Henry’s ADP is the first major topic, with the group noting he is up six spots over two weeks and roughly 30 spots over the last month. 5. Gretch says he has not taken Henry yet because of structural opportunity cost, while Pete argues Henry may keep climbing into late-second-round territory. 6. The group links Henry’s fantasy case to Baltimore’s nine draft picks, Justice Hill’s age-27 role, and Keaton Mitchell’s ACL recovery. 7. They also discuss Henry’s declining yards per carry, his age-30 season in January, and the idea that touchdowns may be doing most of the work now. 8. Sam pushes back with a chart showing Henry still produced spike weeks above 20 points, and Pete calls the chart a "touchdown chart." 9. The Henry debate turns on whether Tennessee’s offense suppressed him last year or whether the age cliff is already approaching. 10. The hosts then move to CJ Stroud, who has risen nearly 10 spots to 52 overall and now sits near the QB4 or QB5 range. 11. They compare Stroud to Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Tom Brady 2007, Peyton Manning 2014, and Aaron Rodgers 2011 as a pocket-passer ceiling bet. 12. Sam notes the Texans added Stefon Diggs and may let Stroud throw 38 to 41 times per game if the organization wants an MVP-level season. 13. Pete points out Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and Noah Brown all posted strong efficiency with Stroud last year, making the stack attractive in best ball. 14. The group worries the Texans may be too good because Danielle Hunter and other front-seven additions could keep games from turning into shootouts. 15. The episode also revisits Dalton Kincaid, whose ADP has risen eight spots after the Stefon Diggs trade. 16. Pete says he has the least Kincaid exposure among the elite tight ends because the Bills still signed Dawson Knox and may keep using 12 personnel. 17. Sam cites rookie tight end history, including Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, George Kittle, Kyle Pitts, Evan Engram, and outliers like Chris Herndon and Tim Wright, to argue Kincaid’s profile leans heavily on receptions. 18. The tone is conversational and argumentative, with charts, stat references, and several back-and-forth disagreements about age curves, target volume, and ADP pricing. 19. Listeners who like fantasy football drafting, ADP movement, and best ball roster construction will get the most from this episode. 20. Listeners wanting narrative storytelling or non-fantasy sports content can skip it.

As heard by us

A final pre-draft ADP session that centers on movers and a skeptical, useful Dalton Kincaid debate.

This episode brings ADP Chasing back on the Ship Chasing channel for a final pre-NFL draft pass, with Sam Davis, Gretch, and Pete in the room while Pat is out.

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Why you'd press play

You want one last ADP pass before the NFL draft changes the board.

Read the full recommendation in PlayNext →
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