Taipei stocks surged 4% then plunged 600 points after Trump's speech—what secret signal did he give?
The episode opens with Chen Zhilin addressing the Taipei stock market's sharp movements, noting a 4% surge followed by a 600-point drop after Trump's speech. He interprets Trump's comments on Iran as wanting to end the war but facing retaliation, keeping oil prices elevated and market uncertainty high. Chen announces he will be taking leave for family reasons, pausing live shows but continuing analysis through his app. He reviews recent market calls, having predicted a rebound based on S&P 500 seasonal indicators, which materialized. Technical analysis focuses on Nvidia, highlighting its critical $164 support level and growth prospects tied to Jensen Huang's projections. TSMC is discussed in tandem, with key support at 310 and valuation scenarios using P/E ratios. Chen introduces his 'Five Wealth Gods' strategy, covering sectors like computing power, networking, thermal management, power, and PCB. He details his membership services, including stock picks like Shenyang Semiconductor and timing alerts. Market sentiment is assessed through margin levels, with a 32,000-point warning line identified for Taipei stocks. Futures and options data show positioning around 33,000, indicating a battleground zone. Oil prices, particularly Brent crude at the 10-day moving average, are flagged as a barometer for Middle East risk. Chen reiterates his base-case view that markets are bottoming, contingent on oil not breaking 119 and inflation not spiking. The episode closes with reminders to download his app and contact information for support.
