Premier League Gambling Podcast · Sports Gambling Podcast Network

World Cup Qualifying Picks (Ep.360)

·52 min·3 clips

Turkey last qualified for a World Cup in 2002, when they finished third.

1. Premier League Gambling Podcast covers World Cup qualifying picks for Europe and the intercontinental playoff tournament. 2. Malcolm Bamford hosts from Newcastle upon Tyne, Barry Penaluna joins from Nottinghamshire, and both matter because they split the betting card. 3. The episode asks which one-off playoff ties offer value before seven European games and the intercontinental bracket. 4. Malcolm starts with Turkey-Romania, noting Turkey's 2002 World Cup bronze medal and Romania's last appearance in 1998. 5. Turkey's qualifying record includes a 6-0 loss to Spain, a 2-2 draw with Spain, and wins home and away over Bulgaria and Georgia. 6. Malcolm names Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Arda Güler, and Kenan Yıldız as part of Turkey's attacking case. 7. He argues that a one-off tie and an early goal could open the match for live betting and cards markets. 8. Barry moves to Wales-Bosnia and cites Wales' 40-place ranking edge over Bosnia. 9. Wales have lost only once at home since Craig Bellamy took over, with five wins in six and 20 goals scored. 10. Barry also notes Bosnia's three wins in 11 away games, one of them against San Marino. 11. Malcolm counters with Wales team total over 1.5, plus Nico Williams shots on target at 12-5 or 16-1 depending on the line. 12. Malcolm then takes Czechia-Republic of Ireland and points to Czechia's 17 unbeaten home qualifiers, 13 of them wins. 13. Republic of Ireland arrive on three straight competitive wins, including Portugal and Hungary, but Malcolm says the Czech side usually keeps matches tight. 14. The pair frame Czechia-Republic of Ireland as a slow burner and lean toward half-time draw and under 2.5 goals. 15. Ukraine-Sweden becomes a market disagreement because Sweden failed to win any of their six qualifiers. 16. Barry backs Ukraine draw no bet, while Malcolm notes Graham Potter's arrival, Sweden's minus-eight goal difference, and Ukraine's cleaner qualifying path. 17. Italy-Northern Ireland is played in Bergamo after crowd anger at the San Siro, and Italy are trying to reach a World Cup after missing 2018 and 2022. 18. Malcolm points to Northern Ireland's seven straight losses in Italy by a 16-2 aggregate and prefers Italy to win to nil at 5-6. 19. The tone is casual and argumentative, with betting analysis broken up by jokes about parking fines, MOT bills, prom plans, Tuscany-style travel, and email notifications. 20. Listeners who like football betting angles and one-off playoff games will get the most from it; casual listeners without betting interest may skip it.

Listen to the show on

Apple Podcasts Spotify

Play clips from this episode More from Premier League Gambling Podcast