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Debunking the Latino Vote

·31 min·2 clips
Trump won 28% of the Latino vote despite calling Mexicans rapists, showing the electorate's surprising complexity.
This episode examines the political influence of Latino voters in Arizona's upcoming Senate and presidential elections. Hosts Juan Diego Ramirez and Sarah San Juan, from Immigrantly Media, guide the analysis. The episode centers on Arizona's open Senate seat, with Democrat Ruben Gallego facing Republican Kari Lake. It notes that Latinos comprise over a third of Arizona's population and helped elect Kyrsten Sinema in 2018 and Joe Biden in 2020. The discussion references Northwestern professor Geraldo Cadava's analysis of Latino voting trends since 1972. It cites Donald Trump winning 28% of the Latino vote in 2016 despite his controversial remarks about Mexicans. A key point is that national surveys often mask differences among Latino subgroups based on country of origin or immigrant experience. The hosts reference political scientist Cristina Beltrán's book, *The Trouble with Unity*, which critiques the idea of a monolithic "Latino community." One surprising insight is that 76% of Latino voters in a poll agreed it is wrong to make abortion illegal, regardless of personal belief. The episode details Arizona's 1864 near-total abortion ban and the successful petition to put an abortion rights measure on the 2024 ballot. It explains that while many associate Latino voters with Catholic conservatism, countries like Argentina and Mexico have recently liberalized abortion laws. The analysis also reveals a paradox on immigration, where about one-third of Arizona Latinos support increased border security despite opposing laws like SB 1070 that enable racial profiling. The hosts draw a parallel to California's Proposition 187, which politically activated a generation of Latino youth. The episode highlights that Kari Lake is a staunch election denier who believes the 2020 presidential election was stolen. It notes Gallego's tweet emphasizing that 33% of Arizonans are Latino but have never had a Latino senator. The race is described as neck-and-neck, with experts debating whether abortion or immigration will be the more decisive issue for voters. The tone is analytical and educational, blending historical context, polling data, and academic perspectives. The style is conversational between the two hosts, who incorporate personal anecdotes and direct quotes from news clips. This episode would appeal to listeners interested in swing-state politics, demographic analysis, and the complexities of Latino voter identity. Those seeking a purely narrative-driven or opinion-heavy political podcast might find it less engaging.

As heard by us

Arizona's Senate race comes into focus through Latino turnout and abortion politics.

The episode narrows in on Arizona's Senate race and keeps its focus on the forces that may decide it: Latino voters, abortion politics, Kyrsten Sinema's exit, Ruben Gallego's campaign, Carrie Lake's challenge, and the polling that leaves the contest tied to turnout and issue…

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Why you'd press play

You want Arizona's Senate race framed by the Latino vote and abortion politics.

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