НОВЫЙ СТАРЫЙ МИРОПОРЯДОК. БЕСЕДА СО СТАНИСЛАВОМ БЕЛКОВСКИМ

March 15, 2026·57 min·4 clips

Belkovsky argues the Save America Act's real function is not gender or sports policy but abolishing postal voting and tying voter eligibility to a Ministry of Homeland Security database full of errors — a mechanism to eliminate millions of Democratic voters before the 2026 midterms.

1. Feigin Live presents a strategic analysis broadcast titled 'New Old World Order,' recorded on March 15 from Kyiv, with political analyst Stanislav Belkovsky as the regular biweekly guest. 2. Host Maks Feigin (called Maks Zakharych) and Stanislav Alexandrovich Belkovsky open by framing the US-Iran conflict as a 'second war of the current year' with unexpected costs, while also noting approximately 3,000 live viewers. 3. The episode's central thesis is that Trump's foreign-policy logic is fully legible through his 1987 book 'The Art of the Deal': set fake deadlines, open with maximum conditions, and psychologically destabilize the opponent until they accept a deal. 4. Belkovsky argues this model fails against Iran specifically because Shiite Islam is theologically organized around the martyrdom narrative of Imam Hussein, which means that the death of leaders is not demoralizing but is instead treated as spiritually positive. 5. Kuwaiti media reported that Khamenei is receiving treatment in a medical facility in Moscow and has not appeared in live footage, with Belkovsky suggesting his public statement was written by Ayatollah Rafsanjani and read by a stand-in. 6. Belkovsky draws a detailed parallel between Trump and Napoleon Bonaparte's 1812 Russian campaign: both assumed the fall of a sacred city (Moscow; Tehran's leadership structure) would compel the enemy to negotiate, neither anticipating the opponent's willingness to suffer total destruction rather than concede. 7. Iran's response has been asymmetric: a de facto blockade of the Hormuz Strait, through which oil insurance and freight rates have spiked sharply even without a formal closure, and Houthi forces in Yemen resuming the Bab-el-Mandeb blockade. 8. The United States is fighting the Iran war essentially alone — without European support, without Japan, and with Israel's interests only partially aligned, since Israel wants Iran's military capacity maximized to create regime-change conditions rather than a quick American victory. 9. Belkovsky explains that Europe and Japan refuse to join the conflict partly because the US under Trump explicitly abandoned the framework of alliances and partnerships that had previously defined the American-centric world order. 10. Trump declared Iran 'completely defeated' in a morning statement, then hours later called on Japan and Asian nations to join military intervention because they are the primary consumers of oil through the Hormuz Strait — contradictions that Belkovsky treats as symptomatic of the campaign's improvised character. 11. The episode notes a broader global decline in the popularity of war as a political instrument, supported by sociological data: the Iran war was unpopular within the US from day three or four, far earlier than any previous American military intervention. 12. Belkovsky identifies a structural pattern linking Trump, Viktor Orban in Hungary, and Vladimir Putin: leaders who use war emergencies and administrative mechanisms to insulate themselves from electoral defeat regardless of polling numbers. 13. The Save America Act is analyzed as the centerpiece of Trump's electoral strategy: Belkovsky argues its real function is not its publicized provisions about transgender athletes or youth gender medicine, but the abolition of postal voting and voter ID requirements. 14. Most critically, the Act ties voter eligibility to exact matching against a Department of Homeland Security database that Belkovsky describes as riddled with errors, disproportionately affecting women who changed surnames upon marriage, students who relocated, and other groups that trend Democratic. 15. Belkovsky notes that Brandon Carr, head of the Federal Communications Commission, threatened media organizations with license revocation for insufficient coverage of the Iran war — a type of press pressure the analyst describes as unfamiliar in modern American history. 16. Tucker Carlson is presented as having been reported to the Justice Department as a potential foreign agent after criticizing Trump's Iran strategy, illustrating a rupture within the MAGA movement between anti-war nationalists and Trump's actual wartime presidency. 17. Belkovsky discusses Trump's likely plan: if the Iran war ends quickly on favorable terms, gasoline prices normalize before November 2026 midterms; if not, Trump will invoke wartime emergency powers, set a gasoline price ceiling, and declare a hybrid war state with China. 18. The second half of the episode shifts to a broader geopolitical analysis of whether the American-centric world order is being buried or paradoxically restored by Trump's aggressive unilateralism, with Belkovsky drawing on examples from the Roman Empire, Soviet Union, and the Statute of Liberty poem. 19. Best for listeners engaged with Russian-language geopolitical commentary, US-Iran conflict analysis, or comparative authoritarianism studies. 20. Listeners who do not follow Russian-opposition media, or who prefer primary-source reporting over analytical speculation, may find the framing too interpretive.

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