Fábio Zambeli, diretor de public affairs do grupo In Press, sobre o cenário político e as eleições 2026

·13 min·1 clip

Bolsonaro's defense calls the Federal Police report a political piece aimed at demoralizing an ex-President.

The episode is an interview format where host Denise Campos de Toledo speaks with guest Fábio Zambelli, a public affairs director. It begins with the immediate context of Bolsonaro's defense submission to the Supreme Court, framing it as a political maneuver. Zambelli outlines the legal troubles Bolsonaro faces, including investigations and a potential prison sentence, which create uncertainty for his political group. He explains how this impacts the right-wing camp's ability to contest the 2026 elections, noting wear in polls and division within the right. The discussion shifts to Governor Tarcísio of São Paulo, who is seen as a key figure balancing loyalty to Bolsonaro with pragmatic appeals to the political center. Zambelli analyzes the strategic challenges for right-wing candidates, emphasizing that breaking with Bolsonaro has proven harmful in polls. He delves into Bolsonaro's tactics of delaying candidate endorsements to preserve political capital, especially as legal pressures mount. The conversation explores how imprisonment might force Bolsonaro into more pragmatic decisions about supporting other candidates. Zambelli also addresses the opposition's agenda to elect right-wing senators who could impeach Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes, highlighting procedural complexities like vote thresholds and Senate presidential discretion. The episode concludes with mentions of geopolitical factors, such as potential U.S. sanctions under Trump, that could influence Brazil's economy and elections. Throughout, recurring themes include political polarization, legal-judicial conflicts, and electoral strategy dynamics.

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