informeGodoy. · Juan Diego Godoy

¿Qué perfiles buscarán la presidencia en 2027? Esto dicen mis fuentes

·24 min·1 clip

Guatemalan parties earn $2 per vote—discover how Sandra Torres profits from losing elections.

1. Informe Godoy host Juan Diego Godoy delivers a January 30 weekly analysis based on source intelligence about who is preparing to run for Guatemala's 2027 presidency. 2. Godoy is the sole host, citing multiple unnamed sources he describes as well-informed, drawn from different sectors. 3. The episode's core thesis is that the 2027 presidential field is already taking shape and several candidates are actively positioning — including some not yet publicly confirmed. 4. Sandra Torres, running her fourth campaign with the UNE party, has a backup vehicle called Nosotros operated by her daughter Nadia León and son-in-law Rudy Guzmán. 5. Godoy argues that Torres's second-place finishes are not failures: Article 21 of the Ley Electoral entitles parties to the quetzal equivalent of two US dollars per vote if they clear 5% of valid votes, funding her congressional presence and territorial network each cycle. 6. Roberto Arzú, who was blocked from running in 2023 under court rulings Godoy calls politically motivated, has aligned with the Cabal party under deputy Luis Aguirre — a party described as currently the strongest in Guatemala's political sphere. 7. Godoy describes Arzú's strategy as 'a mix between Trump and Bukele, but to the Tortrix' — combining right-wing populism, autocratic aesthetics, and efficiency-state messaging. 8. Carlos Pineda, also blocked in 2023 days after polling as the frontrunner, has founded the Servir party and registered it at the Supreme Electoral Court, having learned that self-built vehicles provide protection. 9. From the 2023 field, Zury Ríos has said she will not run again, though sources near her say she may reconsider and seek a new vehicle; she draws the most conservative electorate. 10. Armando Castillo, who reached fourth place in 2023 partly through an alliance with former president Alfonso Portillo, still controls the Viva party after a public rupture with Portillo's ex-wife Evelyn Moratalla. 11. Edmond Mulet, twice robbed of his own parties — first Humanista (taken over by Giammattei allies) and then General Cabal (captured by Luis Aguirre) — has not ruled out a third run; Godoy recommends his memoir Bitácora de un viaje por el pantano. 12. Telma Cabrera, blocked in 2023 and whose MLP party is being cancelled for falling below 5%, may run with a new vehicle called Dignidad currently in TSE registration; Godoy distinguishes her campesino movement from the indigenous movement represented by the 48 cantons of Totonicapán. 13. Among emerging figures, Aquiles Fallaci — a constitutionalist academic with media presence — is confirmed by sources to be seeking the presidency and is in talks with parties. 14. Oscar Rodolfo Castañeda (ORC), a former Bread party figure with a clean political record, was also blocked from running in 2023 with the PODER party and may use the same vehicle in 2027. 15. Max Santacruz, who nearly became vice president alongside Mulet in 2023, is seeking allies and a party vehicle; he is a former Guatemala consul in Miami with experience in Vice President Eduardo Stein's office. 16. Fausto Arimani has been publicly released by the Partido Valor under deputy Almer Palencia — his profile emerged after the January 18 police officer attacks in which ten officers died. 17. Nery Ramos, a former police officer from Jutiapa who became Congress president within two weeks of his first term, is confirmed by sources to be considering a presidential run backed by former president Alfonso Portillo. 18. Godoy frames Guatemala's post-2015 electoral dynamic as repeatedly producing outsider candidates 'like beer foam' — Jimmy Morales and Bernardo Arévalo both emerged from near-obscurity, and this pattern may repeat. 19. The episode is delivered in Godoy's characteristic solo analysis style — rapid, opinionated, with self-deprecating humour and direct address to the audience. 20. Listeners wanting an insider map of Guatemala's 2027 presidential field before it becomes public knowledge will find the episode dense with actionable information.

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