Hidden Killers Live! Daily True Crime News & Breakdowns · Hidden Killers Podcast

Kelsey Fitzsimmons, Nancy Guthrie, Kouri Richins: FBI Analysis of Three Cases With No Clean Answers

March 23, 2026·54 min·2 clips

An officer in postpartum crisis was shot by her own colleagues while facing jail time for it.

Tony opens by saying he wants to understand how the process works. The conversation stays on recall rules instead of political theater. They lay out a target of 120,000 valid signatures in 120 days, which works out to about a thousand signatures a day. Then they add the part that complicates the clean version: not every signature will count. Several thousand are expected to fail verification or otherwise come in invalid, so the real number needed rises closer to 160,000 people signing. They keep stressing that the county is split on Nanos. That split matters because a recall is not just a burst of anger. It has to move people who are not already on board. The hosts also look at the chance of even getting to the recall election itself. One number they use is about a 10 to 17 percent shot at clearing that threshold. They then connect that to turnout and to the number of voters who backed Nanos in the first place. On that reading, roughly a quarter of those voters would need to come back for the recall. Once all the layers are stacked together, the hosts land on an overall success range of about 5 to 15 percent. Robin keeps pushing on the arithmetic. Tony keeps translating the mechanics into plain language. The exchange turns the idea of a recall from a headline into a grind of paperwork and probability. It does not sound impossible. It sounds hard. And it sounds like a lot of people are underestimating how hard it is. The mood stays skeptical the whole way through. Nobody in the room sounds eager to place a confident bet. The segment ends with the sense that the campaign can make noise, but noise is not the same thing as removal.

As heard by us

A blunt recall-math breakdown that makes the odds feel much smaller than the outrage.

Hidden Killers Live! spends this stretch on recall math, and the math is the point. The hosts keep circling back to signatures, verification, and turnout, which makes the gap between public anger and an actual recall election feel harder to ignore.

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Why you'd press play

You want the recall math, plain and out loud.

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